I saw part of this discussion going on at the Drudge Retort in a thread that I sadly cannot remember. Chalk it up to the fire-hose nature of information here on the web. Anyhow, as I was looking at the thread that shall remain unnamed it turned out that a strong possibility for the lowering of the crime rate in the US was the 1973 Roe vs. Wade Supreme Court decision based on the following wisdom:
“When a woman does not want to have a child, she usually has a good reason…” – Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J.Dubner in Freakonomics p.138 of the paperback edition. (all further quotes from the same authors).
Amazing what happens when you give women the autonomy that they deserve. But the argument is as follows.
“[…] two factors – childhood poverty and a single parent household-are among the strongest predictors that a child will have a criminal future. […] In other words, the very factors that drove millions of American women to have an abortion also seemed to predict that their children, had they been born, would have led unhappy and possibly criminal lives.” – [ibid, 139].
Factor in other sociological factors like the propensity toward of child criminal behaviour in single parent households and the effect of the level of maternal education on children one can conclude that leaving the reproductive choices in the hands of women is the right choice, not only for women, but society as a whole.
“In the early 1990’s, just as the first cohort of children born after Roe vs. Wade was hitting its late teen years-the years during which young men enter their criminal prime- the rate of crime began to fall. What this cohort was missing, of course, were the children who stood the greatest change of becoming criminals. And the crime rate continued to fall as an entire generation came of age minus the children whose mothers had not wanted to bring a child into the world. Legalized abortion led to less unwantedness;unwantedness leads to high crime; legalized abortion, therefore, led to less crime.” (emphasis mine). -(ibid 139-140)
So it would seem, abortion is a good thing and a feature of societies with low crime rates. The funny thing is that in the US at the time the remarkable drop in crime was erroneously attributed several memes that received a lot of play in the media.
“Innovative policing strategies, increased reliance on prisons, changes in crack and other drug markets, aging of the population, tougher gun control laws, strong economy, increased number of police, and other (capital punishment, concealed weapons laws, gun buybacks…)” – (ibid 119)
The supply of cocaine greatly increased as well as the number of police officers these two factors did play a role in the decline of crime during the 1990’s. The rest as the authors say:
“The others [options], for the most part, figments of someone’s imagination, self-interest or wishful thinking.” – (ibid, 119)
I imagine this sort of correlation must gall the staunch reactionaries that populate the right wing these days. What? Abortion is Tough on CRIME? *head explodes*




7 comments
January 9, 2010 at 1:03 pm
Ben Hoffman
I wonder how right-wingers would respond if we tried to offer free abortions to members of al Qaeda. That reminds me. I need to get a copy of Super-Freakonomics! :)
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January 9, 2010 at 1:25 pm
The Arbourist
I’m just about halfway done Freakonomics. I really need to get after my book pile, this title has been languishing for months which is a shame because it is such a good read.
SuperFreakonomics? *sigh* I imagine its another one for the pile.
Thanks for coming over Ben, I remember you having a post on this topic and the discussion was quite….vibrant… please feel free to post a link to that thread if you have time.
Cheers,
The Arbourist
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January 9, 2010 at 7:05 pm
Ben Hoffman
Here it is:
You have a great blog. I’ll have to stop by more often. :)
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January 9, 2010 at 9:12 pm
The Arbourist
Thank you for the link, I see Mr.Scott and others were buzzing about even back then.
Many thanks for the compliment. :)
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January 11, 2010 at 6:42 pm
Rob F
These wingnuts are thinking of different “crimes” than those you talk. By and large, the vocal members (that is, those who appear in the media, run these organizations, not the average opponent of abortion) of the anti-choice movement are mostly concerned with brutal, puritanical sexual morality and punishing women (and only women) for having sex. See this chart from Alas, a Blog.
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January 12, 2010 at 11:49 pm
The Arbourist
Just got to the site this evening. Wow. I think I may have to steal that graphic and repost it here. Chilling is it not?
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January 13, 2010 at 10:34 am
Rob F
The chart shows that much of the abortion debate is not really about abortion….
If you wish to repost it, you should probably ask Ampersand (his real name is Barry Deutsch) for permission first.
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