There are places in the world where violence does not need religion.

And then there are places where religion makes it sharper.

Recent reports of attacks on Christian communities in parts of Africa—especially in Nigeria—have circulated widely. The language online is immediate and absolute: slaughter, persecution, genocide. Some of those claims oversimplify a complicated reality. The violence there is not one thing. It is insurgency, land conflict, criminality, and state weakness layered together in unstable ways.

But that is not the same as saying religion is irrelevant.

It is not.

In conflicts where identity is already strained, religion does something specific. It does not always cause the violence. It clarifies it. It names the sides. It tells participants who they are, who the enemy is, and—critically—why the conflict matters beyond survival or territory.

That shift matters.

A dispute over land can end in compromise. A struggle over resources can be negotiated, delayed, or abandoned. But when a conflict is framed in religious terms, it acquires a different gravity. The stakes move from material to moral. Victory is no longer just advantage. It becomes justification.

Religion does not create the blade. It tells you where to aim it.

This is why the same region can produce multiple kinds of violence at once. Armed groups with explicitly Islamist aims may target Christians as Christians. Local conflicts between herders and farmers may fall along religious lines and then harden under that framing. Criminal actors may adopt the language of faith because it organizes fear and loyalty more efficiently than profit alone.

The result is not a single, unified campaign. It is something less coherent and, in some ways, more dangerous: a landscape where violence can be justified in more than one register at once.

This is where outside observers often get it wrong.

To say “this is purely religious persecution” is to miss the structural drivers that sustain the conflict. To say “religion has nothing to do with it” is to ignore how meaning is assigned once violence begins. Both errors flatten the reality into something easier to argue about and harder to understand.

Religion, at its most potent, is a system for organizing meaning. In peaceful conditions, that can produce cohesion, charity, and restraint. In unstable conditions, it can do the opposite. It can elevate conflict, sanctify grievance, and make compromise feel like betrayal.

That is not unique to any one faith tradition. It is a property of belief when it becomes fused with identity under pressure.

The violence does not need religion to begin.

But once religion enters the frame, it changes what the violence is for.

And that is when it becomes harder to end.

Most Canadians could not point to the Strait of Hormuz on a map.

They are about to feel it anyway.

Roughly a fifth of the world’s oil passes through that narrow stretch of water. When it is stable, nobody notices. When it is threatened, everything downstream begins to move—prices, shipping costs, political calculations. Geography, in this sense, is not abstract. It is mechanical.

The current tension in the region has put that mechanism back into play.

It does not require a full disruption to matter. Risk alone is enough. Insurance premiums rise. Tanker routes adjust. Traders price in uncertainty. Oil climbs before a single barrel is lost. And because energy sits underneath everything—transport, production, food—the effects do not stay contained.

“When energy moves, everything else follows.”

This is where the distance between foreign policy and daily life collapses.

Higher fuel costs bleed into groceries. Shipping delays ripple into availability. Central banks, already cautious, hesitate further. Governments face pressure to respond to a problem they do not control. The system tightens, not through a single shock, but through accumulated friction.

None of this depends on whether people are paying attention.

The map exists either way.

Some concertos announce themselves with weight and grandeur. The Piano Concerto in G major opens with a crack.

Not metaphorical—a literal whip. A sharp, almost mischievous gesture that tells you immediately: this will not be Brahms.

Ravel wrote this concerto in the early 1930s, and you can hear the world creeping in. Jazz rhythms flicker through the first movement. The piano darts rather than declaims. The orchestra sparkles instead of surges. It is music that moves with precision and wit, never overstaying a gesture.

Then the second movement arrives, and everything changes.

A single, long piano line unfolds—so simple it feels inevitable, so controlled it borders on unreal. The accompaniment barely shifts beneath it, like time has been slowed just enough to notice its passing. When the English horn enters, it does not interrupt so much as join a quiet thought already in progress.

Ravel proves that restraint, held long enough, becomes its own kind of intensity.

The final movement snaps the spell. It is brief, fast, and almost playful in its refusal to linger. The piano flashes, the orchestra answers, and before the ear can settle, it is over.

No grand conclusion. No heavy resolution. Just a clean exit.

Ravel once said he wanted this concerto to entertain. It does. But it also reminds you—gently—that lightness, when handled this precisely, is not the absence of depth.

Nothing is breaking. That’s the problem.

Canada’s economy is not in crisis. There is no crash, no panic, no headline moment that forces a response. Instead, there is something quieter and more dangerous: hesitation.

Businesses are waiting. Hiring continues, but cautiously. Investment is delayed, not cancelled. Consumers are still spending, but with an edge of restraint. The numbers, taken individually, do not alarm. Together, they describe an economy that has lost its forward motion.

This is what a waiting economy looks like.

The mechanism is simple. When uncertainty rises—over trade, over energy, over rates—decision-making slows. Firms defer expansion. Employers hold off on adding staff. Households pause larger commitments. Each decision is rational in isolation. In aggregate, they compound into stagnation.

“When everyone waits, the slowdown compounds.”

The difficulty is that this kind of slowdown rarely triggers a clean policy response. Central banks do not cut aggressively because inflation risks remain. Governments hesitate to stimulate because nothing appears broken. The system drifts, and the cost accumulates in the background—missed growth, weaker productivity, fewer opportunities quietly foregone.

A crisis forces action the hesitation invites drift.

And drift, left long enough, becomes its own kind of shock.

Mark Carney is on the verge of a majority government. Not through an election, but through parliamentary drift—floor crossings, seat math, timing.

There is nothing illegitimate about this. Canada’s system allows it. MPs are not bound to their parties, and governments rise or fall on confidence, not sentiment. This is how the machine is designed to work.

But design is not the same as meaning.

A majority government is not just a number. It is a signal—of public consent, of direction, of political momentum. When that signal comes from an election, it carries weight. When it emerges mid-cycle, assembled rather than won, it carries ambiguity. The risk is not how the majority is formed. The risk is how it is interpreted.

This is where mandate inflation creeps in.

A government that reaches majority status without facing voters may begin to act as though it has received a fresh endorsement. It hasn’t. It has acquired power within the rules, but without a reset of public consent. That distinction matters, especially when decisions carry long time horizons or high political cost.

None of this requires outrage. It requires discipline. A government in this position should govern with an awareness of how it arrived where it is—carefully, incrementally, and with an eye toward legitimacy, not just legality.

Because the test is not whether the system allows it.

The test is whether the public continues to accept what follows.

Peter Boghossian recently offered a blunt explanation for a pattern that keeps confusing otherwise sensible people: why do parts of the far left reject reforms that would plainly improve public institutions?

Because improvement is not the goal.

His point is simple and ugly. Widespread distrust is not an accidental byproduct of the project. It is the project. Once you understand that, a good deal of otherwise baffling behavior stops being baffling.

Most normal people still assume institutions are flawed but fixable. You identify the problem, apply targeted reforms, restore confidence, and move forward. That model only works if you believe the institution has legitimacy to begin with.

But if you believe the system is oppressive at the root, then reform becomes a threat. Reform stabilizes. It restores credibility. It gives ordinary people a reason to think the institution can work. That, in turn, weakens the deeper claim that the whole structure must be replaced.

That is the real pivot.

When an institution is judged illegitimate in principle, making it function better is not progress. It is betrayal.

You can see this logic across multiple domains.

Take policing. There are decades of incremental reforms aimed at reducing misconduct and increasing accountability: body cameras, improved training, procedural reforms, better supervision, smarter deployment. None of these require abolishing the institution. Yet much of the activist energy after 2020 did not center on reform but on delegitimization: defund, abolish, systemic rot. The point was not to make policing more trustworthy. The point was to make trust itself look naive.

The same pattern appears in universities. The legitimacy problem here is obvious enough that even casual observers can see it. Entire disciplines operate with strikingly narrow viewpoint diversity. The easiest possible trust-building reform would be to widen that range, even modestly. Boghossian’s line about putting “Republicans in sociology departments” works precisely because the ask is so small. If institutional credibility mattered, this would be low-hanging fruit. The refusal to do even that suggests that credibility is not the objective.

The pattern extends further than those two examples. Courts, media, bureaucracies, corporations, elections—again and again, incremental fixes are dismissed as cosmetic. The rhetoric moves quickly from flawed to structural, from structural to systemic, from systemic to irredeemable. Once that move is complete, reform itself becomes suspect. If a change makes the institution more trusted, it is condemned for helping preserve something that, in the activist imagination, deserves to fall.

There is, to be fair, a serious version of the opposing argument. Sometimes institutions really do absorb small reforms in order to preserve larger injustices. In those cases, reform can function as a pressure valve rather than a cure. That argument has force in isolated cases.

Applied universally, it hardens into dogma.

If every institution is corrupt at the root, and every reform is dismissed as insufficient by definition, then no improvement can ever count as evidence. Distrust is no longer a conclusion drawn from performance. It becomes a prior commitment. At that point, the argument stops being diagnostic and becomes theological.

What sharpens Boghossian’s observation is the context in which he made it. He was responding to a discussion about the strategic use of institutional distrust as a political weapon. That matters because the logic is no longer confined to one faction. Different actors now use different language to sell the same underlying message: the system is captured, illegitimate, beyond repair, and unworthy of loyalty. The branding varies. The effect does not.

Delegitimization replaces reform.

And when both ideological extremes converge on the claim that institutions cannot be repaired, the political center—where repair actually happens—begins to disappear. That is not a healthy equilibrium. It is unsustainable.

This also clarifies why evidence-based reform so often fails to persuade true believers. You can show improved outcomes. You can demonstrate lower abuse, better process, stronger accountability, fairer procedures. It will not matter to people whose real argument is not about performance but legitimacy. They are not asking whether the institution is getting better. They are asking whether it deserves to survive.

That distinction matters.

It means reform is still necessary, but not for the reason many assume. Reform is necessary for the persuadable public, for ordinary citizens who still want institutions that work and can still distinguish corruption from legitimacy. It is not likely to win over those already committed to collapse.

It also means the defense of institutions has to be more explicit than many liberals seem comfortable making it. Not blind loyalty. Not sentimental trust. Not a denial of failure. Something firmer than that: flawed, self-correcting institutions are worth defending because the alternatives to reform are usually far worse than reform’s imperfections.

Something always fills the vacuum.

It is rarely better.

Boghossian’s insight matters because it strips away a comforting illusion. Many people still assume everyone in public life is arguing, however bitterly, about how to make institutions function better. They are not. Some are arguing about whether those institutions deserve to exist at all.

Once you see that clearly, the repeated rejection of easy reforms stops looking irrational. It starts looking strategic.

And strategies aimed at destroying trust cannot be answered by trust alone. They have to be met with reforms that work and with the confidence to say, plainly, that imperfect institutions are still worth defending.

References

Primary source

Suggested supporting references

  • Pew Research Center, Public Trust in Government: 1958–2024
  • National Academies of Sciences, Proactive Policing: Effects on Crime and Communities
  • Cynthia Lum et al., systematic review on body-worn cameras
  • Neil Gross and Solon Simmons, The Social and Political Views of American Professors
  • Mitchell Langbert et al., research on faculty political imbalance

There’s a popular line making the rounds:

“I’m communist with my family, socialist with my friends, liberal with my country, and capitalist with the rest of the world.”

It’s clever. It’s also half right—and half sloppy.

The part worth keeping is simple enough: scale changes the rules.

What works for five people does not scale to fifty million. Not because people become worse, but because the system itself becomes something different. A family, a circle of friends, a town, a nation—these are not just larger and smaller versions of the same thing. They are different kinds of coordination problems.

Start with the family. From a distance, it can look vaguely “communist”: shared resources, little formal accounting, distribution by need rather than contract. But that description confuses appearances for mechanism. Families do not work because they have stumbled onto a workable version of communism. They work because they are held together by thick trust, intimate knowledge, moral obligation, and affection. You know who is trying, who is struggling, who is coasting, and who is carrying more than their share. Love and duty do much of the coordinating work that, elsewhere, would have to be done by prices, rules, or enforcement.

That is not an economic system. It is a moral one.

Expand outward to friendship networks and you get something looser but still recognizably personal. Friends split restaurant bills unevenly, help each other move, pick up tabs, lend money, and trade favors without keeping a precise ledger. Reciprocity exists, but it remains informal because reputation still does the work. The group is small enough that selfishness has social consequences, and generosity has memory.

Still not socialism. Still a trust network.

Scale it again, though, and the whole structure changes. Once you move from dozens of known people to millions of strangers, the conditions that made those smaller systems work begin to disappear. You no longer know the participants. You cannot directly observe effort. Reputation becomes local rather than systemic. Free riding becomes harder to detect and easier to excuse. The moral visibility that kept the small group coherent starts to fade.

And that is before you even reach the information problem.

Mises and Hayek saw this clearly. In a large society, the knowledge needed to coordinate production, consumption, scarcity, and changing local conditions is radically dispersed. No planner can gather it all in a usable form, still less process it in real time. Prices do something extraordinary here: they compress enormous amounts of scattered information into signals people can actually act on. They tell producers where demand is rising, tell consumers where scarcity is biting, and help strangers coordinate without ever needing to know one another.

But information is only half the story. The other half is incentives, and this is where many soft-focus arguments about solidarity fall apart.

In a family, the bond is part of the reward. Parents sacrifice for children because they love them. Children often learn obligation because they are formed inside a web of expectation and attachment. Friends help each other because affection, shame, pride, and mutual memory all shape conduct. In a large anonymous system, those bonds weaken. Once effort and reward drift too far apart, behavior changes. People conserve effort, game criteria, hide costs, seek advantages, and respond to whatever incentives the system actually creates rather than to the moral language used to defend it.

That is why bloated systems so often fill up with evasion, rent-seeking, bureaucratic padding, and endless struggles over who pays, who receives, and who gets to define fairness. This is not mainly because people are unusually wicked. It is because incentives shape conduct more reliably than rhetoric does.

The problem is not that people become monsters at scale. The problem is that systems stop being personal.

At small scale, coordination is moral and relational. At large scale, it must become impersonal and systemic.

That is where markets enter—not as a sacred ideology, but as a coordination mechanism built for strangers. Prices transmit information. Profit and loss impose discipline. Competition corrects error. Contracts reduce uncertainty. None of this requires perfect virtue. That is precisely the point. Markets work not because people are angels, but because the system does not depend on them being angels.

That is why they scale.

Now, a fair steelman is necessary here, because the redistributive instinct is not born from pure foolishness. Advocates of more social-democratic or socialist arrangements are often responding to something real. Human beings are not just market actors. They are children, parents, dependents, pensioners, caregivers, and sometimes casualties of bad luck they did not choose. A society that treats every need as a private burden and every vulnerability as a market outcome to be endured will become efficient in a narrow sense, but also harsh, brittle, and politically unstable. The desire to soften outcomes, provide public goods, and preserve a baseline of dignity is not irrational. It is, in many cases, a morally serious response to genuine dependency.

That much should be conceded.

What should not be conceded is the next leap: the claim that because markets need moral and political correction, they can therefore be replaced as the primary mechanism of large-scale coordination. They cannot. A decent society may use the state to cushion, insure, stabilize, and set guardrails. But the moment it starts treating political instruction as a substitute for price signals, or good intentions as a substitute for incentive alignment, it begins to lose the information and discipline that complex systems require.

As systems scale, coordination must shift from relationships to mechanisms, and from assumed goodwill to aligned incentives.

This is also why the original slogan overshoots. Markets are not the only thing that scales. States scale too, in limited and specific ways. Law, infrastructure, policing, and certain public goods are not produced by market exchange alone. And between the family and the nation lies an entire middle world of institutions—firms, charities, churches, schools, municipalities, associations—that mix trust, hierarchy, rules, custom, and incentives in different proportions.

The real lesson, then, is not “capitalism good, everything else bad.” That is too crude to be useful.

The real lesson is that systems must be judged by the kind of coordination problem they are trying to solve. Small groups can run on trust because trust is visible and enforceable. Large societies cannot. They need mechanisms that work under conditions of anonymity, partial knowledge, conflicting interests, and imperfect virtue. Any model that ignores those conditions will eventually break, no matter how beautiful its moral language sounds at dinner.

That is the recurring mistake. People take the emotional clarity of small-group life—sharing, sacrifice, mutual care—and try to project it onto systems too large for those tools to govern. When the result disappoints, they blame greed, selfishness, or insufficient solidarity. They almost never blame the mismatch between the model and the scale.

They should.

Because the deepest constraint here is not moral. It is structural.

You can run a family on trust. You can run a country on rules. But if those rules ignore incentives, trust will not save you.

References for Curious Readers

F. A. Hayek, “The Use of Knowledge in Society” (1945).
The classic statement of the knowledge problem: why the information needed to coordinate an economy is dispersed among millions of people and cannot be fully centralized. Published in The American Economic Review.

Ludwig von Mises, “Economic Calculation in the Socialist Commonwealth” (1920).
The foundational statement of the economic calculation problem: without market prices for capital goods, rational large-scale allocation becomes impossible.

Elinor Ostrom, Nobel Prize Lecture, “Beyond Markets and States” (2009).
Useful as a corrective to simplistic binaries. Ostrom’s work shows that some common resources can be governed successfully through rules, enforcement, and local institutions rather than either pure markets or total central control.

Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences 2009 – Popular Information / Summary.
A concise overview of why Ostrom and Oliver Williamson mattered: economic life is governed not only by markets and states, but also by firms, associations, and other institutions. This supports the essay’s “missing middle layer” point.

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