Find the full HSS Systematic Review here.

Introduction

In our second post, we dive deeper into the risks associated with medical treatments for pediatric gender dysphoria, as outlined in the Department of Health and Human Services’ 2025 review. While proponents of “gender-affirming care” argue these interventions are essential, the systematic review (Chapter 7, pages 106-124) highlights significant physiological and psychological risks that deserve careful consideration.

Key Findings on Risks

The review details how puberty blockers, cross-sex hormones, and surgeries impact young bodies. Puberty blockers, used to halt natural pubertal development, can lead to impaired bone mineral density, increasing the risk of fractures later in life (page 110). They may also affect neurocognitive development and sexual function, with potential long-term consequences that are not fully understood (pages 111-112). Cross-sex hormones, such as testosterone for girls or estrogen for boys, introduce risks like cardiovascular disease, metabolic disorders, and infertility (pages 118-119). Surgeries, though less common, carry risks of complications and regret, particularly when performed after early pubertal suppression (page 120).

The review emphasizes that these risks are not hypothetical—they are grounded in established physiological knowledge. For instance, blocking puberty disrupts normal developmental processes critical for bone, brain, and reproductive health (pages 108-112). Yet, the evidence for these interventions’ benefits remains weak, with systematic reviews unable to confirm improvements in mental health or quality of life (page 13).

Why This Matters

Children and adolescents are particularly vulnerable to these risks because their bodies are still developing. The irreversible nature of many of these effects—like sterility or surgical changes—raises ethical concerns about applying them to minors who may not fully grasp the long-term implications. The review’s findings align with international trends, such as restrictions in Finland and Sweden, where psychotherapy is now prioritized (pages 142-143).

Three Arguments Against Transitioning Children

  1. Irreversible Physical Harms: Puberty blockers and hormones can cause permanent effects like infertility, reduced bone density, and sexual dysfunction, which are particularly concerning for developing children (page 14).

  2. Uncertain Long-Term Outcomes: The review found no reliable evidence that medical interventions improve long-term mental health or quality of life, making the risk-benefit ratio unfavorable (page 13).

  3. Ethical Concerns with Consent: Adolescents may lack the maturity to consent to treatments with lifelong consequences, especially given the uncertain benefits and significant risks (page 155).

References

  • Department of Health and Human Services. (2025). Treatment for Pediatric Gender Dysphoria: Review of Evidence and Best Practices, page 14.

  • Ibid., page 13.

  • Ibid., page 155.

  The text of the full report can be found here.

Introduction

The treatment of gender dysphoria in children and adolescents has become a highly debated topic. A recent report from the Department of Health and Human Services (May 1, 2025) provides a comprehensive review of the evidence behind these treatments. This first post in our series explores the overall findings of the systematic review, highlighting the quality and limitations of the evidence for medical interventions like puberty blockers, cross-sex hormones, and surgeries.

Key Findings from the Systematic Review

The report’s “umbrella review” (Chapter 5, pages 77-96) evaluated existing systematic reviews to assess the benefits and harms of treatments for pediatric gender dysphoria. The findings are striking: the evidence supporting these interventions is of very low quality. This means that claims about their benefits—such as improved mental health or quality of life—are uncertain and may differ significantly from the true effects. Studies often lack rigorous methodology, with issues like small sample sizes, short follow-up periods, and potential publication bias (page 103) clouding the results.

For example, the review found that studies claiming benefits from puberty blockers or hormones, such as de Vries et al. (2011, 2014) and Tordoff et al. (2022), are short-term and observational, lacking the robustness of randomized controlled trials (pages 98-101). These studies often fail to account for confounding factors like concurrent mental health treatment, making it hard to attribute outcomes solely to medical interventions. Additionally, the review notes a lack of systematic tracking of harms, which may underreport risks like infertility or bone density issues (page 13).

What This Means

The low-quality evidence raises serious questions about the widespread use of medical interventions for children with gender dysphoria. Without clear data on long-term outcomes, families and clinicians face uncertainty when making decisions. This gap in evidence has led countries like the UK to restrict puberty blockers, prioritizing psychosocial approaches instead (page 13).

Three Arguments Against Transitioning Children

  1. Insufficient Evidence of Benefit: The systematic review found that the evidence for psychological benefits from puberty blockers, hormones, or surgeries is very low quality, with studies often biased or inconclusive (page 13). This uncertainty makes it risky to pursue invasive treatments with unproven efficacy.

  2. Significant Risks of Harm: Medical interventions carry serious risks, including infertility, sexual dysfunction, impaired bone density, and potential cognitive impacts (page 14). These risks are particularly concerning for children, whose bodies and minds are still developing.

  3. Natural Resolution of Gender Dysphoria: Research suggests that gender dysphoria often resolves without intervention in many cases, especially when untreated (page 21). Medical transition may disrupt this natural process, leading to irreversible changes for children who might otherwise reconcile with their bodies.

References

  • Department of Health and Human Services. (2025). Treatment for Pediatric Gender Dysphoria: Review of Evidence and Best Practices, page 13.

  • Ibid., page 14.

  • Ibid., page 21.

TL;DR – Judge positions and arguments based on their merit, not the political stripe of who happens to be saying it.

A recent review by the Department of Health and Human Services explores the evidence and best practices for treating pediatric gender dysphoria, a condition where children and teens experience distress related to their sex or its social expectations. As more young people identify as transgender or nonbinary, the U.S. has widely adopted the “gender-affirming” care model, which includes social affirmation, puberty blockers, hormones, and surgeries. However, this approach is under scrutiny internationally due to its experimental nature and potential risks, prompting this review to clarify the evidence for policymakers, clinicians, and families.

Background: Rising Diagnoses, Diverging Approaches

The review highlights a sharp increase in gender dysphoria diagnoses among youth, with the U.S. favoring a “gender-affirming” model that prioritizes medical interventions. This approach, originally developed for adults with poor outcomes, was extended to minors before robust outcome data emerged. Internationally, there’s no consensus—some countries, like the UK, have restricted puberty blockers and hormones for minors, citing insufficient evidence of safety and efficacy, and now emphasize psychosocial support instead.

Evidence Review: Weak Benefits, Known Risks

An “umbrella review” of systematic reviews found that evidence supporting the benefits of medical treatments—like improved psychological outcomes or quality of life—is of very low quality, suggesting reported benefits may not hold up. Evidence on harms is limited, partly due to short follow-ups and poor tracking, but established risks include infertility, sexual dysfunction, bone density issues, cognitive effects, cardiovascular and metabolic disorders, psychiatric conditions, surgical complications, and regret. This gap between uncertain benefits and clearer risks calls for caution.

Clinical Realities: Guidelines and Practice Under Fire

Influential U.S. guidelines from WPATH and the Endocrine Society lack rigor, with WPATH accused of suppressing systematic reviews and loosening standards under political pressure. Many U.S. gender clinics bypass even these permissive guidelines, often limiting mental health assessments to brief sessions. Whistleblowers and detransitioners report serious risks and harms, but their concerns are frequently ignored, revealing a disconnect between practice and evidence-based care.

Ethics and Alternatives: Caution and Psychotherapy

Ethically, while patients can refuse treatments, they aren’t entitled to unproven ones, and clinicians should avoid interventions with disproportionate risks. The review finds no evidence that medical transition reduces suicide rates, which are low and tied more to comorbidities than gender dysphoria itself. Psychotherapy emerges as a noninvasive option, with systematic reviews showing no adverse effects, yet it’s understudied due to misconceptions. The review urges more research and a careful approach to pediatric care.

AI is giving Moore’s Law law a run for its money.

1 Month (June 2025)

Over the next month, AI advancements are likely to focus on incremental improvements in existing models and broader accessibility. Companies like xAI, OpenAI, and Anthropic will continue optimizing large language models for efficiency, reducing computational costs, and enhancing performance in tasks like natural language processing, code generation, and image analysis. More seamless integration of AI tools into consumer platforms, such as enhanced voice assistants or improved content recommendation systems, is expected. Regulatory discussions, particularly in the EU and US, will gain momentum, with early frameworks for AI safety and ethics shaping deployment strategies.

3 Months (August 2025)

By August 2025, AI systems are expected to exhibit more robust multimodal capabilities, combining text, image, and possibly audio processing. Models like Grok 3 may see expanded features in real-time information synthesis. Increased adoption in industries like healthcare (e.g., diagnostic tools) and education (e.g., personalized learning platforms) is likely. Open-source AI frameworks may mature, enabling smaller organizations to deploy sophisticated models. Stricter guidelines addressing data privacy and algorithmic bias will emerge, fostering trust but potentially slowing some deployments.

6 Months (November 2025)

By November 2025, AI could demonstrate improved reasoning abilities, tackling complex problems in scientific research or logistics with greater autonomy. Advancements in reinforcement learning may optimize supply chains or energy grids. Consumer-facing AI, like voice modes, might expand to new platforms with more natural interactions. Global ethical AI standards will likely solidify, addressing issues like deepfakes. Developments will be driven by increased computational power and collaborations, though challenges like energy consumption and geopolitical tensions may arise.

 

Reference List for AI Development Forecast 2025

  1. McKinsey & Company. (2024). The state of AI in 2024: Gen AI adoption accelerates as organizations pursue value. McKinsey & Company.
    • Provides insights into AI adoption trends, including multimodal capabilities and industry applications like healthcare and education.
  2. Stanford Institute for Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence. (2024). AI Index Report 2024. Stanford University.
    • Offers data on AI performance improvements, computational efficiency, and global regulatory efforts.
  3. European Commission. (2024). The Artificial Intelligence Act. European Union.
    • Details the EU’s regulatory framework for AI, influencing global safety and ethics standards.
  4. Gartner. (2024). Top Strategic Technology Trends for 2025. Gartner, Inc.
    • Highlights AI-driven automation, multimodal AI, and reinforcement learning applications in logistics and energy.
  5. World Association of News Publishers. (2024). Ethical AI in Media: Addressing Deepfakes and Misinformation. WAN-IFRA.
    • Discusses emerging standards for combating AI-generated misinformation.
  6. IEEE Spectrum. (2024). The Race for General Intelligence: AI’s Next Frontier. IEEE.
    • Explores advancements in reasoning and general intelligence in AI systems.
  7. xAI. (2024). Grok 3 Product Documentation. xAI. Retrieved from https://x.ai/grok.
    • Provides details on Grok 3’s capabilities, including DeepSearch and voice mode, informing consumer AI trends.

Note: Some references are based on projected trends from 2024 sources, as specific 2025 data is not yet available. All sources were accessed for their relevance to AI development, regulation, and application trends as of May 18, 2025.

This Blog best viewed with Ad-Block and Firefox!

What is ad block? It is an application that, at your discretion blocks out advertising so you can browse the internet for content as opposed to ads. If you do not have it, get it here so you can enjoy my blog without the insidious advertising.

Like Privacy?

Change your Browser to Duck Duck Go.

Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email.

Join 397 other subscribers

Categories

January 2026
M T W T F S S
 1234
567891011
12131415161718
19202122232425
262728293031  

Archives

Blogs I Follow

The DWR Community

  • Unknown's avatar
  • windupmyskirt's avatar
  • Unknown's avatar
  • Unknown's avatar
  • Unknown's avatar
  • Unknown's avatar
  • Unknown's avatar
  • hbyd's avatar
  • Unknown's avatar
  • Unknown's avatar
Kaine's Korner

Religion. Politics. Life.

Connect ALL the Dots

Solve ALL the Problems

Myrela

Art, health, civilizations, photography, nature, books, recipes, etc.

Women Are Human

Independent source for the top stories in worldwide gender identity news

Widdershins Worlds

LESBIAN SF & FANTASY WRITER, & ADVENTURER

silverapplequeen

herstory. poetry. recipes. rants.

Paul S. Graham

Communications, politics, peace and justice

Debbie Hayton

Transgender Teacher and Journalist

shakemyheadhollow

Conceptual spaces: politics, philosophy, art, literature, religion, cultural history

Our Better Natures

Loving, Growing, Being

Lyra

A topnotch WordPress.com site

I Won't Take It

Life After an Emotionally Abusive Relationship

Unpolished XX

No product, no face paint. I am enough.

Volunteer petunia

Observations and analysis on survival, love and struggle

femlab

the feminist exhibition space at the university of alberta

Raising Orlando

About gender, identity, parenting and containing multitudes

The Feminist Kitanu

Spreading the dangerous disease of radical feminism

trionascully.com

Not Afraid Of Virginia Woolf

Double Plus Good

The Evolution Will Not BeTelevised

la scapigliata

writer, doctor, wearer of many hats

Teach The Change

Teaching Artist/ Progressive Educator

Female Personhood

Identifying as female since the dawn of time.

Not The News in Briefs

A blog by Helen Saxby

SOLIDARITY WITH HELEN STEEL

A blog in support of Helen Steel

thenationalsentinel.wordpress.com/

Where media credibility has been reborn.

BigBooButch

Memoirs of a Butch Lesbian

RadFemSpiraling

Radical Feminism Discourse

a sledge and crowbar

deconstructing identity and culture

The Radical Pen

Fighting For Female Liberation from Patriarchy

Emma

Politics, things that make you think, and recreational breaks

Easilyriled's Blog

cranky. joyful. radical. funny. feminist.

Nordic Model Now!

Movement for the Abolition of Prostitution

The WordPress C(h)ronicle

These are the best links shared by people working with WordPress

HANDS ACROSS THE AISLE

Gender is the Problem, Not the Solution

fmnst

Peak Trans and other feminist topics

There Are So Many Things Wrong With This

if you don't like the news, make some of your own

Gentle Curiosity

Musing over important things. More questions than answers.

violetwisp

short commentaries, pretty pictures and strong opinions

Revive the Second Wave

gender-critical sex-negative intersectional radical feminism