You are currently browsing The Arbourist’s articles.
Alberta’s education system is at a breaking point. As more than 51,000 teachers strike across the province over oversized classrooms, the battle over class-size caps, staffing levels, and funding formulas has erupted into a full-blown crisis. With reports of classes swelling into the 30s and even 40s—and with the province no longer publishing detailed class-size data—the dispute between the Alberta Teachers’ Association (ATA) and the Government of Alberta has become a referendum on whether quality learning can survive without clearer metrics, stricter rules, and targeted investments. This analysis examines the facts, details each side’s proposals, and steelmans both perspectives so readers can decide where the truth lies.
A Classroom Crisis or Budgetary Reality?
On October 6, 2025, teachers across Alberta walked out, declaring that the province’s classrooms have become “untenable.” The ATA’s strike action followed a decisive 89.5% rejection of the government’s offer—a signal of deep discontent.
(Source: Shootin’ the Breeze)
The core issues are class size, student complexity, and resource allocation. Teachers report classes of 30–40 students, rising numbers of high-needs children, and too few educational assistants or supports.
(Source: Learning Success Blog)
The government, meanwhile, stresses budget restraint, local flexibility, and warns that province-wide class caps would impose unsustainable costs.
What Do the Facts Reveal?
Data Transparency:
Until 2019, the province published annual class-size data for schools. In 2019, the current government ended that practice—making it difficult to establish accurate, province-wide numbers.
(Source: Braceworks)
Reported Trends:
An ATA survey found that 72% of Albertans believe class sizes are “too big,” while only 20% think they are “about right.”
(Source: ATA News)
Nearly 40% of teachers say their largest class has between 30 and 40 students; some exceed 40.
Funding and Growth:
In 2020, Alberta shifted to a three-year weighted moving average (WMA) for per-student funding. This was meant to stabilize budgets, but schools in fast-growing regions argue it made it harder to keep pace with enrollment increases.
(Source: Braceworks)
Together, these factors—rising enrollment, slower hiring, and more complex student needs—created the “classroom crisis” the ATA describes.
The ATA’s Position (Steelmanned)
- Binding Class-Size Caps:
The ATA calls for enforceable limits—especially smaller classes in early grades and high-needs classrooms. Oversized classes, they argue, reduce individualized feedback and classroom management capacity. - Staffing and Support for Complexity:
The ATA emphasizes that class composition matters as much as headcount. Classrooms with several students requiring individualized plans or behavioural supports demand additional staffing. - Funding to Hire 5,000+ Teachers:
To meet the province’s 2003 class-size recommendations, Alberta would need over 5,000 more teachers.
(Source: Swift News) - Quality of Learning:
The ATA contends this is not about wages—it’s about ensuring conditions where teachers can teach and students can learn.
In summary:
The ATA’s strongest case is that Alberta’s classrooms are objectively too large and complex for effective instruction, and only binding standards—backed by resources—can restore educational quality.
The Government’s Position (Steelmanned)
- Fiscal Responsibility:
The government argues that rigid caps would cost billions and force trade-offs with other priorities such as facilities and technology. - Local Flexibility:
Because school boards face different realities—urban crowding versus rural under-enrollment—the government says decisions should remain local, not imposed from Edmonton. - Targeted Investments, Not Blanket Caps:
The province has proposed hiring 3,000 teachers and 1,500 educational assistants over three years to focus on high-need areas, calling this a “strategic” alternative to universal caps.
(Source: CityNews Edmonton) - Continuity of Schooling:
The government invoked back-to-work legislation, arguing that prolonged strikes risk irreparable harm to students.
In summary:
The government’s steelmanned position is that it’s acting responsibly—preserving local flexibility, fiscal discipline, and stability while still targeting the worst pressure points.
What the Evidence Suggests
The educational research is nuanced:
- Smaller classes, especially in early grades, improve academic outcomes and behavioural management. (See: Project STAR, Krueger 2002)
- Benefits decline as grades rise or when teacher quality is not addressed simultaneously.
- Blanket reductions are expensive; targeted reductions often deliver higher returns per dollar.
Applied to Alberta:
The province may achieve the best results by targeting early-years and complex-needs classrooms, rather than imposing uniform caps across all grades. The evidence supports smaller classes where they matter most, not necessarily everywhere.
Where the Facts Should Lead Public Judgment
- Demand Transparency:
Reinstate province-wide class-size reporting so both government and ATA claims can be verified. - Target Early Grades and Complex Classes:
Evidence shows these investments yield the highest payoff. - Acknowledge Trade-offs:
Caps and hiring increases require billions in funding—citizens deserve clear accounting of costs and benefits. - Negotiate in Good Faith:
Both sides have legitimate claims: teachers on workload, government on fiscal prudence. A transparent mediation process focused on data—not ideology—would best serve students.
Final Thoughts
This strike is not just about teacher pay. It’s about the structure of public education itself—what class sizes are acceptable, how complexity is managed, and how Alberta balances fiscal discipline with classroom realities.
If your priority is student-centered learning and teacher retention, the ATA’s demand for enforceable caps has merit. If your focus is fiscal sustainability and flexibility, the government’s caution makes sense.
Either way, the solution must begin with facts: transparent class-size data, verifiable outcomes, and evidence-based reforms that put students first.
References
- Alberta Teachers’ Association – Class size issues top of mind for Albertans
- Learning Success Blog – Alberta’s 51,000 Teachers Strike Over Classroom Crisis as Class Sizes Hit 40 Students
- Braceworks – Alberta stopped tracking class sizes. Then it changed its funding formula. Now, it’s a teachers’ strike issue.
- Shootin’ the Breeze – Alberta teachers vote 95% for strike over wages and class sizes
- CityNews Calgary – Overcrowding in spotlight ahead of possible Alberta teachers strike
- Swift News – ATA Wants More Than 5,000 New Teachers To Meet Class-Size Recommendations

I’ve summarized the article here.
In challenging the prevailing narrative of unmitigated harm in Canada’s residential schools, Michelle Stirling scrutinizes Phyllis Webstad’s story, the inspiration behind Orange Shirt Day. Webstad boarded at St. Joseph’s in 1973, a facility under federal oversight where she attended public school alongside local children, not a cloistered religious institution. Stirling points out the absence of Catholic nuns in daily operations by that time, with Indigenous staff predominant, and questions the portrayal of familial abandonment on the Dog Creek Reserve amid documented violence, suggesting her placement served as a safeguard rather than an act of cultural erasure.
Vivian Ketchum’s recollection of being removed at age five to the Presbyterian-run Cecilia Jeffrey school is similarly contextualized as a welfare intervention, particularly against the backdrop of tuberculosis ravaging her community, which left her with lung scars. Stirling dismantles media distortions, such as those in “The Secret Path,” which erroneously inject Catholic elements into a Presbyterian setting, while citing Robert MacBain’s compilation of affirmative student letters that refute widespread abuse claims and highlight the school’s role as a refuge from dire home conditions.
Stirling ultimately cautions against the pitfalls of relying on childhood memories in legal compensation processes, where leading questions can shape recollections, and contrasts dominant tales with positive accounts like Lena Paul’s depiction of the school as a haven from familial turmoil. By exposing fabrications in works like the “Sugarcane” documentary, the article advocates for a balanced historical lens that prioritizes verifiable facts over emotive victimhood, fostering genuine reconciliation free from manipulated animosity.
“The issue is never the issue; the issue is always the revolution.” This maxim, drawn from Saul Alinsky’s Rules for Radicals, exposes a tactical pattern: a left-wing movement cloaks a raw power-grab in moral-righteous language. Nowhere is that clearer than in the 2025 teachers’ strike in Alberta.
On the surface, the Alberta Teachers’ Association (ATA) insists the fight centres on a “funding crisis” harming students—demanding an additional C$2.6 billion plus large wage increases and stricter class-size caps. Yet the empirical record undermines the narrative that Alberta is desperately under-funded, and it raises the question: is this truly about pedagogy or about politics?
Funding vs Outcomes: The Data
In high-income countries, higher spending per pupil does not reliably produce higher student achievement. For example, U.S. elementary/secondary expenditure was about $15,500 USD per Full-Time Equivalent in 2019, compared with the OECD average of $11,300. (National Center for Education Statistics) A detailed Canadian analysis by the Fraser Institute found that spending fails to correlate strongly with performance on the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) tests. (Fraser Institute)
In Canada, real (inflation-adjusted) per-student spending on public schools increased only modestly from 2012/13 to 2021/22—5.1 % nationally—per the Fraser Institute. (Fraser Institute) More relevant: Alberta’s spending dropped 17.2 % in the same period. (Education News Canada) Hence the claim that Alberta’s education system is starving for funds is misleading.
Teacher Compensation & Relative Position
If wage deprivation were the core issue, one would expect Alberta teachers to be significantly out-of-line with their peers. But data show Alberta is not vastly behind. While the ATA asserts salary stagnation, the context is more nuanced: overall compensation is competitive at the national level. That suggests bargaining is less about emergency pay than about positioning. This implies the strike rhetoric—“kids first,” “funding crisis,” “education collapse”—acts as cover for political mobilization.
From Bargaining to Politics
The strike began October 6, 2025, involving some 51,000 teachers across the province and impacting hundreds of thousands of students. (Wikipedia) On October 28 the United Conservative Party (UCP) government invoked the notwithstanding clause through Bill 2—forcing teachers back and imposing a contract. (Alberta Teachers’ Association) That is a dramatic escalation for what many would expect to be a wage-and-conditions dispute.
The Broader Labour Mobilisation
But the strike did not remain isolated. The Alberta Federation of Labour (AFL) president called an “emergency meeting” of public and private-sector union leaders, demanding the government rescind Bill 2 or face “unprecedented collective action.” (Alberta Federation of Labour) Other unions—nurses, custodians, public-sector workers—were implicitly or explicitly aligned. This is no narrower labour stand-off. It is a broad labour front coalescing around a political narrative.
The Political Narrative: NDP Strategy
Enter the Alberta New Democratic Party (NDP). Its leadership framed the battle as existential for the UCP, calling Premier Danielle Smith “coward” and declaring the strike “the beginning of the end” for the ruling party. Polls report the UCP’s approval tumbling.
The symbiosis is clear: union mobilisation, educational disruption, and political leverage combine. The “funding for students” narrative appears to morph quickly into a power-battle for political realignment.
When the “Kids First” Slogan Masks a Revolutionary Agenda
Framing the strike as entirely student-centric hides the political logic. By shutting schools and generating parental strain, the strike creates electoral pressure. The rhetoric of “for the kids” serves as a Trojan Horse. Unions and the NDP do not merely seek more money—they seek to reshape fiscal policy, entrench union influence, and weaken the standing party. As the Fraser Institute reminds us, simply throwing more money at K-12 education rarely produces measurable gains; the real levers lie in teacher-quality, accountability, curriculum rigour—not just budgets. (Todayville)
In Alberta the material case for emergency action is thin: if funding and compensation are already broadly in line, the crisis rhetoric becomes suspect.
What Should Parents & Taxpayers Do?
- Demand transparency: If the ATA or any union claims a “funding crisis,” ask for hard numbers—what line-items, what enrolment ratios, what outcome improvements are promised?
- Insist on measurable results: Additional spending should come paired with accountability—higher literacy scores, lower drop-out rates.
- Consider union-monopoly reform: If classrooms become battlegrounds for ideological or political conflict rather than learning, the monopoly model must be questioned.
- Focus on high-leverage reform, not just dollars: Empirical studies suggest teacher quality and delivery matter far more than marginal increases in spending.
- Recognise tactics: If a labour dispute evolves suddenly into broad political mobilisation, parents must ask: am I seeing advocacy for children or agitation for power?
The Stakes
If the revolution behind the strike succeeds, classrooms become pawns in a much larger game: the transformation of Alberta’s political economy, the elevation of public-sector unions as political actors, the weakening of fiscal restraint.
Parents may believe they support “kids first,” but without scrutiny they might end up supporting ideological conquest. The issue is never merely education—it is power. The question isn’t only “will teachers get more pay?” but “who gets to control the education agenda?”
Let classrooms remain places of learning, not battlegrounds for political realignment.

Bibliography
- Fraser Institute. Education Spending in Public Schools in Canada, 2024 Edition. Vancouver: Fraser Institute. https://www.fraserinstitute.org/sites/default/files/education-spending-in-public-schools-in-canada-2024.pdf (Fraser Institute)
- Fraser Institute. School Spending and Performance in Canada and Other High-Income Countries. https://www.fraserinstitute.org/sites/default/files/school-spending-and-performance-in-canada-and-other-countries.pdf (Fraser Institute)
- Fraser Institute. “Six out of 10 provinces increased per-student spending on public schools, even after adjusting for inflation.” Education News Canada, August 23 2024. https://educationnewscanada.com/article/education/level/k12/3/1097267/six-out-of-10-provinces-increased-per-student-spending-on-public-schools-even-after-adjusting-for-inflation.html (Education News Canada)
- ATA. “ATA to Challenge Bill 2.” Alberta Teachers’ Association News Release, October 27 2025. https://teachers.ab.ca/news/ata-challenge-bill-2 (Alberta Teachers’ Association)
- Amnesty International Canada. “Alberta’s use of notwithstanding clause in Bill 2.” Press Release, October 28 2025. https://amnesty.ca/press-releases/alberta-notwithstanding-clause-bill-2/ (Amnesty International Canada)
- Discover Airdrie. Anna Ferensowicz, “Where Alberta stands in national school spending: Fraser study.” September 12 2025. https://www.discoverairdrie.com/articles/where-alberta-stands-in-national-school-spending-fraser-study (Discover Airdrie)
- Todayville. “Spending per K-12 student in Canada ranged from …” (2022-23 data summary) https://www.todayville.com/spending-per-k-12-student-in-canada-ranged-from-13494-in-alberta-to-19484-in-quebec-in-2022-23/ (Todayville)
- Global News. “Alberta teachers say fight just begun but will follow the law …” October 2025. https://globalnews.ca/news/11497853/alberta-teachers-strike-will-follow-law-back-to-work-bill/ (Global News)
- Wikipedia. “2025 Alberta teachers’ strike.” https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Alberta_teachers%27_strike (Wikipedia)
In an age that demands shame from the West, Douglas Murray deploys the ultimate counterstrike:
“I don’t especially think of myself as being white and don’t particularly want to be cornered into thinking in such terms. But if you are going to corner me, then let me give you an answer to the best of my ability.
“The good things about being white include being born into a tradition that has given the world a disproportionate number, if not most, of the things that the world currently benefits from. The list of things that white people have done may include many bad things, as with all peoples. But the good things are not small in number. They include almost every medical advancement that the world now enjoys. They include almost every scientific advancement that the world now benefits from. No meaningful breakthrough in either of these areas has come for many centuries from anywhere in Africa or from any Native American tribe. No First Nation wisdom ever delivered a vaccine or a cure for cancer.
“White people founded most of the world’s oldest and longest-established educational institutions. They led the world in the invention and promotion of the written word. Almost alone among any peoples it was white people who—for good and for ill—took an interest in other cultures beyond their own, and not only learned from these cultures but revived some of them. Indeed, they have taken such an interest in other peoples that they have searched for lost and dead civilizations as well as living ones to understand what these lost peoples did, in an attempt to learn what they knew. This is not the case with most other peoples. No Aboriginal tribe helped make any advance in understanding the lost languages of the Indian subcontinent, Babylon, or ancient Egypt. The curiosity appears to have gone almost entirely one way. In historical terms, it seems to be as unusual as the self-reflection, the self-criticism, and indeed the search for self-improvement that marks out Western culture.
“White Western peoples happen to have also developed all the world’s most successful means of commerce, including the free flow of capital. This system of free market capitalism has lifted more than one billion people out of extreme poverty just in the twenty-first century thus far. It did not originate in Africa or China, although people in those places benefited from it. It originated in the West. So did numerous other things that make the lives of people around the world immeasurably better.
“It is Western people who developed the principle of representative government, of the people, by the people, for the people. It is the Western world that developed the principles and practice of political liberty, of freedom of thought and conscience, of freedom of speech and expression. It evolved the principles of what we now call ‘civil rights,’ rights that do not exist in much of the world, whether their peoples yearn for them or not. They were developed and are sustained in the West, which though it may often fail in its aspirations, nevertheless tends to them.
“All this is before you even get onto the cultural achievements that the West has gifted the world. The Mathura sculptures excavated at Jamalpur Tila are works of exceptional refinement, but no sculptor ever surpassed Bernini or Michelangelo. Baghdad in the eighth century produced scholars of note, but no one ever produced another Leonardo da Vinci. There have been artistic flourishings around the world, but none so intense or productive as that which emerged around just a few square miles of Florence from the fourteenth century onward. Of course, there have been great music and culture produced from many civilizations, but it is the music of the West as well as its philosophy, art, literature, poetry, and drama that have reached such heights that the world wants to participate in them. Outside China, Chinese culture is a matter for scholars and aficionados of Chinese culture. Whereas the culture created by white people in the West belongs to the world, and a disproportionate swath of the world wants to be a part of it.
“When you ask what the West has produced, I am reminded of the groups of professors assigned to agree on what should be sent in a space pod into orbit in outer space to be discovered by another race, if any such there be. When it came to agreeing on what one musical piece might be sent to represent that part of human accomplishment one of the professors said, ‘Well, obviously, it will be Bach’s Mass in B Minor.’ ‘No,’ averred another. ‘To send the B Minor Mass would look like showing off.’ To talk about the history of Western accomplishments is to be put at great risk of showing off. Do we stay just with buildings, or cities, or laws, or great men and women? How do we restrict the list that we put up as a preliminary offer?
“The migrant ships across the Mediterranean go only in one direction—north. The people-smuggling gangs’ boats do not—halfway across the Mediterranean—meet white Europeans heading south, desperate to escape France, Spain, or Italy in order to enjoy the freedoms and opportunities of Africa. No significant number of people wishes to participate in life among the tribes of Africa or the Middle East. There is no mass movement of people wishing to live with the social norms of the Aboriginals or assimilate into the lifestyle of the Inuit, whether those groups would allow them in or not. Despite everything that is said against it, America is still the world’s number one destination for migrants worldwide. And the next most desirable countries for people wanting to move are Canada, Germany, France, Australia, and the United Kingdom. The West must have done something right for this to be the case.
“So if you ask me what is good about being white, what white people have brought to the world, or what white people might be proud of, this might constitute the mere beginnings of a list of accomplishments from which to start. And while we are at it, one final thing. This culture that it is now so fashionable to deprecate, and which people across the West have been encouraged and incentivized to deprecate, remains the only culture in the world that not only tolerates but encourages such a dialogue against itself. It is the only culture that actually rewards its critics. And there is one final oddity here worth noting. For the countries and cultures about which the worst things are now said are also the only countries demonstrably capable of producing the governing class unlike all of the others.
“It is not possible today for a non-Indian to rise to the top of Indian politics. If a white person moved to Bangladesh, they would not be able to become a cabinet minister. If a white Westerner moved to China, neither they nor the next generation of their family nor the one after that would be able to break through the layers of government and become supreme leader in due course. It is America that has twice elected a black president—the son of a father from Kenya. It is America whose current vice president is the daughter of immigrants from India and Jamaica. It is the cabinet of the United Kingdom that includes the children of immigrants from Kenya, Tanzania, Pakistan, Uganda, and Ghana and an immigrant who was born in India. The cabinets of countries across Africa and Asia do not reciprocate this diversity, but it is no matter. The West is happy to accept the benefits this brings, even if others are not.”
-Douglas Murray from the Conclusion of War on the West.





Your opinions…